IMF Warns of AI, Debt and Conflict Risks to Growth

The fund forecasts 3.1 percent global growth for 2026 while outlining significant downside risks.

Published October 13, 2026 · New York Tribune Staff · Bangkok · Development: October 13, 2026

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The IMF forecast 3.1 percent global growth for 2026 Tuesday, Reuters reports. It warned that an AI investment slowdown, elevated debt and a prolonged Middle East conflict could weaken the outlook.

Its scenarios describe potential risks rather than outcomes that have already occurred.

Sources: Reuters. Reviewed October 13, 2026. Development: October 13, 2026.

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